Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.031025 0.033362 0.035701 0.038215 0.040835 0.043484 0.046361
2025-10-12 0.026515 0.030197 0.034010 0.038236 0.042775 0.047489 0.052742
2025-10-19 0.023680 0.028132 0.032856 0.038207 0.044070 0.050270 0.057292
2025-10-26 0.022133 0.027223 0.032730 0.039078 0.046142 0.053713 0.062395
2025-11-02 0.020429 0.025969 0.032073 0.039222 0.047288 0.056038 0.066179
2025-11-09 0.018869 0.024750 0.031345 0.039182 0.048137 0.057956 0.069444
2025-11-16 0.017468 0.023617 0.030630 0.039076 0.048841 0.059654 0.072411
2025-11-23 0.016145 0.022494 0.029852 0.038833 0.049330 0.061060 0.075009
2025-11-30 0.015038 0.021564 0.029245 0.038736 0.049943 0.062570 0.077694
2025-12-07 0.013766 0.020361 0.028253 0.038131 0.049917 0.063311 0.079468
2025-12-14 0.012542 0.019155 0.027203 0.037405 0.049705 0.063800 0.080921
2025-12-21 0.011392 0.017982 0.026140 0.036618 0.049380 0.064123 0.082151
2025-12-28 0.011072 0.017923 0.026514 0.037652 0.051322 0.067206 0.086724
2026-01-04 0.010304 0.017241 0.026088 0.037700 0.052089 0.068932 0.089753
2026-01-11 0.009569 0.016559 0.025625 0.037670 0.052733 0.070491 0.092571
2026-01-18 0.009261 0.016444 0.025881 0.038534 0.054465 0.073346 0.096919
2026-01-25 0.008691 0.015929 0.025587 0.038676 0.055291 0.075103 0.099961
2026-02-01 0.008096 0.015342 0.025169 0.038637 0.055873 0.076554 0.102629
2026-02-08 0.007520 0.014749 0.024718 0.038532 0.056356 0.077872 0.105130
2026-02-15 0.006938 0.014114 0.024180 0.038291 0.056649 0.078944 0.107326
2026-02-22 0.006446 0.013585 0.023767 0.038195 0.057111 0.080214 0.109753
2026-03-01 0.005829 0.012822 0.022996 0.037595 0.056907 0.080647 0.111152
2026-03-08 0.005223 0.012035 0.022157 0.036875 0.056525 0.080841 0.112246